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| Valentina Rodionenko during podium training. Courtesy of the RGF |
Pongo is my AI assistant. Read here his calculations of who might make the best Russian MAG team at the World Championships in October. Please do feel free to disagree audibly, in the comments and note that Pongo admits, even he makes mistakes. I don’t generally write such statistical material, so this may be a one off. With apologies for any errors, mine entirely and I wrote the brief. Yes. I’ve treated this as a genuine team-construction problem , rather than simply taking the six gymnasts with the highest AA scores. For the calculation I used the most recent strong competitive score available for each gymnast: the Spartakiad scores for Yakubov, Novikov and Kisel , and mainly European Championship team-final/final scores for Dukhno, Marinov, Zaika and Sieedin , supplemented by Russian Championship scores where a recent European score was not available. That matters because Dukhno and Marinov, for example, were substantially stronger in Zagreb than some earlier...

Hail Valentina, finally!
ReplyDeleteShe sounds like a Pro. To me qualifications went well, actually, better than expected. I really really want to see Kharenkova in the BB final. Replacing Mustafina by Kharenkova in BB EF is possibel. I mean, Mustafina, a world champion on BB, is guaranteed to hit in the finals but Kharenkova, if she hits, would definitely be golden. This should be a replica of 2011 scenario when Afan replaced Komova on floor and hit a golden routine. YET, it is the Glorious Mustafina vs. fresh Kharinkova, difficult decision.
Alfi
I think quals went well, too.
DeleteKharenkova is well down in the beam scores - Russia would not be able to substitute her for Aliya, even if Aliya finishes in the top eight after all the remaining gymnasts have competed.
But she still has team finals to vindicate herself - and as a young gymnast there will, hopefully, be plenty more opportunities to compete.
Yeah, the 2011 scenario was possible only because Afanasyeva had qualified ninth, and thus was the first alternate and the first in line when Komova pulled out though.
DeleteI'm impressed though, a Valentina statement where she sounds completely sane the whole way through? Someone call a doctor, maybe she's come down with a fever that's affecting her brain. She said that the girls did well and mentioned their errors without throwing blame around, discussed judging issues also without blaming the judges, and didn't call anyone fat. Wow.
I was pleasantly surprised with Nabs performance. Did a sold UB; and other than her typical bent knee, her DTY was good. She also displayed a solid veteran leadership as she was the first to talk with Kharenkova after her fall on beam.
ReplyDeleteWell done team performance with room to improve in finals, and a drive for redemption for Kharenkova.